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For many years demographers have been expounding on the declining birthrates of native-born Europeans, and the surging Arab and Chinese populations.  Now Martin Walker, writing in the Wilson Quarterly, ("The World's New Numbers") points out that recent shifts have confounded these projections:

"Something dramatic has happened to the world's birthrates.  Defying predictions of demographic decline, northern Europeans have started having more babies. Britain and France are now projecting steady population growth through the middle of the century.  In North America, the trends are similar.  In 2050, according to the United Nations projections, it is possible that nearly as many babies will be born in the United States as in China.  Indeed, the population of the world's current demographic colossus will be shrinking.  And, China is but one particularly sharp example of a widespread fall in birthrates that is occurring across most of the developing world, including much of Asia, Latin America, and the Middle East.  The one glaring exception to this trend is sub-Saharan Africa, which by the end of this century may be home to one-third of the human race."

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